By the grace of Cuba’s northern coast, which was abraded by Irma before the strong Cat 4 hurricane reached the Florida Straits, and a tongue of dry air sucked into its massive, state-swallowing wind field, the storm weakened slightly and couldn’t regain strength before making its first landfall Sunday morning at Cudjoe Key.
A subtle wiggle west that made Marco Island its second landfall target, kept the deepest and deadliest storm surge away from Naples, Fort Myers and Tampa as fewer of the counterclockwise lashing winds were over the Gulf of Mexico.
"There are just so many little subtle things that can make all the difference," said Jonathan Erdman, a senior digital meteorologist at Weather.com. "After it hit the Keys, it took a more due north path instead of north-northwest and that drove the eyewall ashore near Marco Island, which started weakening it."
At the same time, however, that western wobble put the east coast metro areas within closer reach of Irma’s 80-mile hurricane wind-span and 220-mile stretch of tropical storm-force winds. It also meant more flooding in Jacksonville, which suffered inundation from Irma’s southeast squall.
“It’s not over yet,” said Colorado State University hurricane researcher Phil Klotzbach, noting the flooding in Jacksonville and potential impact in Georgia. “We’re going to learn a lot from this storm, and it certainly could have been worse.”
In Palm Beach County, gusts of 91 mph were recorded at Palm Beach International Airport on Sunday evening as the most potent part of Irma blew through. Other preliminary high wind gusts include 79 mph in Boca Raton, 90 mph in Lake Worth, 84 mph in Juno Beach, 77 mph in Jupiter, 71 mph in Pahokee, 67 mph in Boynton Beach, 65 mph in Belle Glade, 56 mph in Delray Beach and 55 mph in Greenacres.
“I think Floridians have had a good display of how if you are on the east side of a hurricane, you can be much worse off than on the west side,” said Dan Kottlowski, a hurricane expert at AccuWeather. “Hurricane Matthew passed about the same distance away from you that Irma did, but Matthew was to the east.”
The highest wind gust in Palm Beach County from 2016 Hurricane Matthew was estimated at 67 mph in Juno Beach.
Throughout the county, Irma’s gusty winds, along with sustained speeds of 58 mph at Palm Beach International Airport, uprooted trees, tore street lights from their perches, ripped signs from the ground, shredded shrubbery and cracked palm trees in half.
What To Do And Not Do After A Hurricane
Kaylie Atteo of West Palm Beach was shocked to find five towering shade trees on South Olive Avenue stretched across the road, their roots lifting up sidewalks as Irma’s winds caught their canopies and took them down.
“I wrapped up my furniture and put it up on blocks because we just didn’t know what to expect,” said Atteo. “But I never thought these trees would go down because the storm went so far west.”
Atteo spent the night in Boynton Beach with her mother, but Steven Smilack, whose home is next to one of the massive downed trees, stayed. With shutters on his two-story home, he said he never heard the trees go over and didn’t know they had fallen until this morning.
“We just came out and saw what you are seeing,” he said.
By Monday morning, Irma was downgraded to a tropical storm and is expected to become a depression today.
What few wanted to discuss Monday after a week of angst over Irma, was Hurricane Jose.
The Category 2 hurricane about 255 miles northeast of Grand Turk Island is on track to do an unusual loop before pointing to the U.S. coastline.
Because Jose will be traveling back on its previous path where it pulled up cool water as it passed, it is thought the storm may weaken and then head out to sea. It’s still too early to know whether it will be a threat to the United States or Florida.
“Folks along the East Coast should still keep a watch on Jose, but right now we don’t have the same lump in our throat as we did with Irma,” Erdman said.
“I think everyone is done with hurricanes for a while,” Klotzbach agreed.
When Power Goes Out, Who Gets It Back First