Lichtman's presidential predictions are based upon 13 true-false questions, he told the Post. He scoffs at polls, calling them “snapshots that simulate an election.”
“They are abused and misused as predictors,” he told the Post. “Even the analysis of polls by Nate Silver and others which claimed a probable Clinton victory with from more than 70 percent to 99 percent certainty are mere compilations that are no better than the underlying polls.
“For all his acclaim, Nate Silver is only a clerk, not a scientific analyst,” Lichtman said.