Karim el-Gendy, an expert at Chatham House who specializes in urban sustainability and climate policy, says Egypt has failed to meet its goal of having 20% of its electricity sourced from renewables by 2022. The current figure is now closer to 10%, according to the International Energy Agency.
There's less demand for solar energy, partly due to the influx of natural gas, thanks to new discoveries located in Egypt's section of the Mediterranean Sea.
“We have seen less interest in the past couple of years in integrated renewable energy projects in Egypt, both in terms of solar, in the south, and wind,” he said.
As host of this year's global climate summit, known as COP27 and now underway in the Red Sea resort of Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt has said it will pressure other nations to implement climate promises made at previous conferences. Egypt is not bound by any carbon emissions cap, but it has vowed to mitigate and curb its emission rises across key polluting sectors, such as electricity and transport.
Its use of natural gas has also helped, allowing Egypt to move away from burning coal and oil, much dirtier industries — but nevertheless, gas is still a fossil fuel.
From Sharm el-Sheikh, President Joe Biden, who was attending the climate conference, said Friday that the United States, the European Union and Germany will provide a package of $500 million to finance and facilitate Egypt’s transition to clean energy — and accelerate the country’s ambitious goal of reaching producing 42% of electricity generated by renewable sources in 2030, five years earlier than previously planned.
Biden also announced that they would work with Egypt to reduce green gas emissions through capturing “nearly 14 billion cubic meters of natural gas, which Egypt currently flares, vents or leaks from its oil and gas operations.”
“Because of this cooperation, Egypt has elevated its climate ambition,” Biden said, referring to climate goals nations are required to submit to the United Nations in line with the Paris Agreement.
The Egyptian government has revealed few details on how it will implement or finance the 2035 vision — or the revised 2030 plan the U.S. and Germany mentioned Friday in a joint statement with Egypt. Foreign investment will likely play a big part, as countries in Europe look south for solar power. The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development has allotted $10 billion of funding for over 150 projects across Egypt, with Benban claimed as one of its major successes.
The sprawling farm is designed to grow as demand for solar energy increases. And there’s plenty more room for windmills, too, along Egypt’s blustery coastline.
‘’It offers great potential for us and other investors,‘’ said Faisal Eissa, general manager for Egypt at Lekela, speaking of the government’s aim to increase green energy. The Amsterdam-headquartered company operates a windmill farm near the Red Sea city of Ras Ghareb.
Egypt’s New and Renewable Energy Authority claims Benban has already reduced the country's annual greenhouse emission output. But there is still a long way to go. In 2020, renewables accounted for 6% of Egypt’s energy consumption, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, with petroleum products accounting for 36% and natural gas for 57%. Coal accounted for just 1%.
Egypt may also have less of an incentive to invest in renewables as it grapples with domestic challenges, including an economic crisis brought on by the coronavirus pandemic, Russia's war in Ukraine and a years-long government crackdown on dissent. Last month, Cairo reached a preliminary deal with the International Monetary Fund that would allow access to a $3 billion loan.
Effects of climate change are already being felt in the Nile River Delta, where rising seas have brought on creeping salt that eats away roots and cakes farms, devastating the livelihoods of Egyptian farmers.
The Arab world’s most populous country accounts for only 0.6% of global carbon dioxide emissions. But it faces high levels of urban pollution. Most of the population lives in densely packed neighborhoods along the fertile banks of the Nile and its northern delta. Here, car fumes and mass transport running on diesel clog the streets. Egyptians’ exposure to air pollution is, on average, 13 times higher than the World Health Organization’s recommended guidelines. It was responsible for 90,559 premature deaths in 2019, according to statistics gathered by the U.N.
The country's congested capital city of Cairo is the second top source of greenhouse gas emissions, after the giant offshore Zohr gas field, according to the Climate TRACE.
The remaining 90% of Egypt's land is uninhabitable desert. By better utilizing the vast expanse and coastlines, the Abu Dhabi-based International Renewable Energy Agency said the North African country could generate over half of its electricity from renewables by 2030.
It's a different way of viewing the country's sun-scorched landscape.
“People here have started to look at the sun as a source of power," said Ahmed Mustafa, who runs one of the area's many new logistics companies that work alongside Benban's developers and engineers, supplying them with equipment.
For the locals, the solar farm has been transformative. Thousands worked at the site when it was under construction, and many stayed as technicians and cleaners once it became fully functional.
Ultimately, the development of more wind and solar capabilities will come down to what makes business sense for the government, despite its expressions of good intent, according to el-Gendy.
‘’The need to expand its renewable sector all depends on Egypt’s commercial interests,’’ he said.
Jeffery reported from Cairo.
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This story was first published on Nov. 11, 2022. It was updated on Nov. 12, 2022 to correct that Lekela is a company that operates a wind farm near Egypt’s Red Sea coast.