Race in Ohio: tied or Trump edge?

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Race in Ohio: tied or Trump edge?

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Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton

Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump are tied 45-45 in Ohio, according to a new independent poll of likely voters from Quinnipiac University.

A separate poll of likely voters released Monday by CNN shows Trump holding a 4-point lead over Clinton in Ohio, 48-44, which is just outside the margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. The CNN poll of likely voters shows 4 percent backing Libertarian Gary Johnson and 2 percent voting for Green Party candidate Jill Stein.

The CNN poll shows voters see Clinton as more capable on foreign policy issues while Trump has the edge on trade, economic and immigration matters. She also scores higher than Trump on temperament, commander-in-chief qualities and values while Trump is rated more honest and trustworthy than Clinton.

Clinton moved into the lead in three other key swing states.

Quinnipiac University found Clinton holds an 8 point lead in Colorado, 6 point lead in Pennsylvania and 4 point edge in Florida. Clinton has double-digit leads among women and non-white voters while Trump has the edge with men and white voters, the poll found. Independents in Ohio, though, have shifted to Clinton, according to the Quinnipiac poll.

“Secretary Clinton has held or increased her lead following the second debate,” said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac Poll, in a written statement. “Obviously the allegations by a number of women about Donald Trump’s behavior have taken a toll among some of those who had been in his column.”

He added that Trump probably can’t win the White House without taking Florida or Pennsylvania and if he loses both “he’s toast.”

Brown said: “Trump’s best hope is a knockout win in the last debate Wednesday evening, his last shot at a national audience. Once the Wednesday debate is over, the last three weeks of the campaign will be fought by competing turnout machines and TV commercials. Many observers believe Clinton has the superior ground game and money edge to dominate the airwaves.”

Clinton and Trump are scheduled to debate Wednesday in Las Vegas — the third and final face-to-face showdown between the two.

“Ohio has been Donald Trump’s best of the major swing states, giving him a five-point lead earlier this month. But here, too, the controversies seem to be taking their toll on the Trump vote. The race in the Buckeye state is a dead heat and the poll’s internals show just how tight the race is there. Trump is leading by 14 points among men; Secretary Clinton up 12 points among women,” Brown said.

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