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Friday, September 17, 2010
Strickland campaign memos: governor’s race still close
The news this week from the Quinnipiac University poll was horrible for Democratic Gov. Ted Strickland but his campaign says there’s more to the story and that the governor’s race still is nip-and-tuck.
Internal campaign documents obtained by the Dayton Daily News on Friday showed that a Strickland campaign tracking poll from Sept. 7-10 showed Republican John Kasich leading, 48-44 percent and a second tracking poll from Sept. 12-14 showed Kasich ahead, 48-45 percent.
This was in sharp contrast to the Quinnipiac poll that showed Kasich leading by 17 points, 54-37 percent.
A memo from pollster Diane Feldman also said that Strickland leads Kasich by 13 points “on putting the middle class first, while Kasich leads on putting the wealthy first, and Strickland leads on being honest and trustworthy, and caring about people.”
However, the memo also shows that “the only positive trait where Kasich leads is an important one - that he will create jobs.”
“Voters who have heard about companies in their area expanding in the last six months support Strickland by 58 to 36 percent; those who have not heard of new or expanding industries in their area give Kasich a majority,” says the memo.
A memo from Strickland campaign manager Aaron Pickrell also highlights other public polls that show a closer race, including one from Fox News, usually bashed by Democrats, which had Kasich winning, 48-43 percent.
The average of public polls on the RealClearPolitics Web site gives Kasich a 10.8 percent lead.
Kasich’s campaign declined comment on the memos.
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TweetPortman holds 20-point lead over Fisher, poll says
In the race for U.S. Senate, Republican Rob Portman holds a whopping 20-point lead over Democrat Lee Fisher, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll released Friday.
The poll also shows that President Barack Obama has a 60 percent disapproval rating among Ohio’s likely voters.
It is the first Quinnipiac survey of likely voters in this election cycle instead of registered voters.
Portman, a former Congressman and George W. Bush cabinet member, leads 55-30 among independent voters and 91-2 among Republicans and trails Fisher 81-13 among Democrats. Among likely voters who choose a candidate, 18 percent said they might change their mind. But among those who say they’d pick Fisher, 26 percent might change their mind, compared with 13 percent of Portman’s backers.
“It’s difficult to find any good news for Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher in these numbers. Likely voters in Ohio, as is the case nationally, are angry at the status quo and with Democrats controlling Congress and the White House. Fisher is taking it on the chin from those who are trying to send a message to the White House,” said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
On top of that, 33 percent of likely voters say they don’t know enough about Fisher to have an opinion, even though Fisher has been in Ohio politics for decades. He is a former attorney general and candidate for governor.
“For someone who has been around for some time, Fisher has somehow failed to catch the public’s attention,” said Brown.
Brown added that Obama is unpopular with voters this year.
“With the president such a heavy weight around the neck of Democratic candidates, it will be hard for one to win such a high-profile office this year in Ohio,” Brown said.
The poll surveyed 730 Ohio likely voters from Sept. 9-14 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 points.
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